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Emergency Rule in Rivers State Weakens Wike’s Influence, Shields Fubara, Says Analyst

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Public affairs analyst Amilda Fraser has described President Bola Tinubu’s declaration of a state of emergency in Rivers State as a calculated strategy to weaken the political influence of the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, while protecting Governor Siminalayi Fubara from impeachment.

In a statement issued on Friday, Fraser explained that the emergency rule serves multiple purposes, including restoring order, safeguarding economic interests, and reshaping the state’s political dynamics. She noted that the move temporarily shields Governor Fubara from political threats while reducing Wike’s grip on the state’s affairs, showcasing Tinubu’s ability to navigate complex political landscapes.

“The declaration of emergency rule effectively halts the impeachment process initiated by the Rivers State House of Assembly, giving Governor Fubara the opportunity to regroup and strengthen his political base without immediate pressure from legislators loyal to Wike,” Fraser stated.

She added that the suspension of the Assembly, which has been dominated by Wike’s allies, significantly curtails the former governor’s ability to influence state politics. “With the legislative arm out of the picture, Wike’s political maneuvering within Rivers State is temporarily curtailed, indirectly checking his power,” she said.

Fraser also highlighted the rising security concerns in the state, including incidents like the recent fire on the Trans Niger Pipeline due to vandalism, which have raised fears about stability and economic security. She argued that the state of emergency provides Governor Fubara with a critical window to consolidate his political support, address internal divisions, and focus on governance.

“Freed from immediate legislative threats, Fubara can now strengthen alliances and implement policies that could enhance his political standing ahead of the eventual return to normalcy,” she added.

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